Corynix.
The Model Desk

Probability,
written like reporting.

Each fixture is graded by the Corynix model — form, lineup quality, venue context and head-to-head signal — then translated into a clean editorial split you can actually read.

74
Fixtures
46%
Avg conf.
v4.2
Model
Featured Prediction
Mexico flagMEX
vs
Ecuador flagECU
Desk pick: Mexico
International Friendly
MEX46%
Draw30%
ECU24%

Live model - Mexico's home altitude and depth give them the edge.

Read full breakdown →
02

Upcoming slate

International FriendlyJapan
Japan flagJPN
vs
AUSAustralia flag
JPN49%
Draw30%
AUS21%

Live model - Japan's structured press should pin Australia deep.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Mexico
Mexico flagMEX
vs
RSASouth Africa flag
MEX53%
Draw18%
RSA29%

Model lean: Mexico. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Korea Republic
Korea Republic flagKOR
vs
CZECzechia flag
KOR50%
Draw16%
CZE34%

Model lean: Korea Republic. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Canada
Canada flagCAN
vs
BIHBosnia and Herzegovina flag
CAN46%
Draw16%
BIH38%

Model lean: Canada. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026United States
United States flagUSA
vs
PARParaguay flag
USA51%
Draw17%
PAR32%

Model lean: United States. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Qatar
Qatar flagQAT
vs
SUISwitzerland flag
QAT50%
Draw16%
SUI34%

Model lean: Qatar. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Brazil
Brazil flagBRA
vs
MARMorocco flag
BRA38%
Draw38%
MAR24%

Model lean: Brazil. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Haiti
Haiti flagHAI
vs
SCOScotland flag
HAI53%
Draw18%
SCO29%

Model lean: Haiti. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Australia
Australia flagAUS
vs
TURTürkiye flag
AUS49%
Draw16%
TUR35%

Model lean: Australia. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Germany
Germany flagGER
vs
CURCuraçao flag
GER46%
Draw17%
CUR37%

Model lean: Germany. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Netherlands
Netherlands flagNED
vs
JPNJapan flag
NED42%
Draw18%
JPN40%

Model lean: Netherlands. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Côte d'Ivoire
Côte d'Ivoire flagCIV
vs
ECUEcuador flag
CIV53%
Draw18%
ECU29%

Model lean: Côte d'Ivoire. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Sweden
Sweden flagSWE
vs
TUNTunisia flag
SWE47%
Draw17%
TUN36%

Model lean: Sweden. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Spain
Spain flagESP
vs
CPVCabo Verde flag
ESP42%
Draw18%
CPV40%

Model lean: Spain. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Belgium
Belgium flagBEL
vs
EGYEgypt flag
BEL45%
Draw30%
EGY25%

Model lean: Belgium. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia flagKSA
vs
URUUruguay flag
KSA52%
Draw17%
URU31%

Model lean: Saudi Arabia. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026IR Iran
IR Iran flagIRN
vs
NZLNew Zealand flag
IRN46%
Draw26%
NZL28%

Model lean: IR Iran. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026France
France flagFRA
vs
SENSenegal flag
FRA52%
Draw22%
SEN26%

Model lean: France. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Iraq
Iraq flagIRQ
vs
NORNorway flag
IRQ52%
Draw22%
NOR26%

Model lean: Iraq. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Argentina
Argentina flagARG
vs
ALGAlgeria flag
ARG51%
Draw17%
ALG32%

Model lean: Argentina. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Austria
Austria flagAUT
vs
JORJordan flag
AUT52%
Draw22%
JOR26%

Model lean: Austria. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Portugal
Portugal flagPOR
vs
CODCongo DR flag
POR42%
Draw22%
COD36%

Model lean: Portugal. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026England
England flagENG
vs
CROCroatia flag
ENG38%
Draw38%
CRO24%

Model lean: England. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Ghana
Ghana flagGHA
vs
PANPanama flag
GHA47%
Draw22%
PAN31%

Model lean: Ghana. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan flagUZB
vs
COLColombia flag
UZB43%
Draw18%
COL39%

Model lean: Uzbekistan. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Czechia
Czechia flagCZE
vs
RSASouth Africa flag
CZE47%
Draw17%
RSA36%

Model lean: Czechia. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Switzerland
Switzerland flagSUI
vs
BIHBosnia and Herzegovina flag
SUI45%
Draw30%
BIH25%

Model lean: Switzerland. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Canada
Canada flagCAN
vs
QATQatar flag
CAN51%
Draw17%
QAT32%

Model lean: Canada. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Mexico
Mexico flagMEX
vs
KORKorea Republic flag
MEX40%
Draw30%
KOR30%

Model lean: Mexico. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026United States
United States flagUSA
vs
AUSAustralia flag
USA43%
Draw18%
AUS39%

Model lean: United States. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Scotland
Scotland flagSCO
vs
MARMorocco flag
SCO49%
Draw16%
MAR35%

Model lean: Scotland. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Brazil
Brazil flagBRA
vs
HAIHaiti flag
BRA40%
Draw30%
HAI30%

Model lean: Brazil. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Türkiye
Türkiye flagTUR
vs
PARParaguay flag
TUR40%
Draw30%
PAR30%

Model lean: Türkiye. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Netherlands
Netherlands flagNED
vs
SWESweden flag
NED48%
Draw18%
SWE34%

Model lean: Netherlands. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Germany
Germany flagGER
vs
CIVCôte d'Ivoire flag
GER53%
Draw18%
CIV29%

Model lean: Germany. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Ecuador
Ecuador flagECU
vs
CURCuraçao flag
ECU53%
Draw18%
CUR29%

Model lean: Ecuador. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Tunisia
Tunisia flagTUN
vs
JPNJapan flag
TUN41%
Draw26%
JPN33%

Model lean: Tunisia. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Spain
Spain flagESP
vs
KSASaudi Arabia flag
ESP48%
Draw18%
KSA34%

Model lean: Spain. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Belgium
Belgium flagBEL
vs
IRNIR Iran flag
BEL48%
Draw18%
IRN34%

Model lean: Belgium. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Uruguay
Uruguay flagURU
vs
CPVCabo Verde flag
URU47%
Draw22%
CPV31%

Model lean: Uruguay. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026New Zealand
New Zealand flagNZL
vs
EGYEgypt flag
NZL42%
Draw22%
EGY36%

Model lean: New Zealand. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Argentina
Argentina flagARG
vs
AUTAustria flag
ARG39%
Draw34%
AUT27%

Model lean: Argentina. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026France
France flagFRA
vs
IRQIraq flag
FRA49%
Draw16%
IRQ35%

Model lean: France. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Norway
Norway flagNOR
vs
SENSenegal flag
NOR38%
Draw38%
SEN24%

Model lean: Norway. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Jordan
Jordan flagJOR
vs
ALGAlgeria flag
JOR49%
Draw16%
ALG35%

Model lean: Jordan. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Portugal
Portugal flagPOR
vs
UZBUzbekistan flag
POR46%
Draw26%
UZB28%

Model lean: Portugal. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026England
England flagENG
vs
GHAGhana flag
ENG41%
Draw26%
GHA33%

Model lean: England. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Panama
Panama flagPAN
vs
CROCroatia flag
PAN47%
Draw22%
CRO31%

Model lean: Panama. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Colombia
Colombia flagCOL
vs
CODCongo DR flag
COL48%
Draw18%
COD34%

Model lean: Colombia. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Switzerland
Switzerland flagSUI
vs
CANCanada flag
SUI46%
Draw17%
CAN37%

Model lean: Switzerland. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Bosnia and Herzegovina
Bosnia and Herzegovina flagBIH
vs
QATQatar flag
BIH41%
Draw26%
QAT33%

Model lean: Bosnia and Herzegovina. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Scotland
Scotland flagSCO
vs
BRABrazil flag
SCO50%
Draw16%
BRA34%

Model lean: Scotland. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Morocco
Morocco flagMAR
vs
HAIHaiti flag
MAR52%
Draw22%
HAI26%

Model lean: Morocco. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Czechia
Czechia flagCZE
vs
MEXMexico flag
CZE49%
Draw16%
MEX35%

Model lean: Czechia. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026South Africa
South Africa flagRSA
vs
KORKorea Republic flag
RSA42%
Draw22%
KOR36%

Model lean: South Africa. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Curaçao
Curaçao flagCUR
vs
CIVCôte d'Ivoire flag
CUR47%
Draw22%
CIV31%

Model lean: Curaçao. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Ecuador
Ecuador flagECU
vs
GERGermany flag
ECU51%
Draw17%
GER32%

Model lean: Ecuador. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Japan
Japan flagJPN
vs
SWESweden flag
JPN47%
Draw22%
SWE31%

Model lean: Japan. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Tunisia
Tunisia flagTUN
vs
NEDNetherlands flag
TUN43%
Draw18%
NED39%

Model lean: Tunisia. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Türkiye
Türkiye flagTUR
vs
USAUnited States flag
TUR48%
Draw18%
USA34%

Model lean: Türkiye. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Paraguay
Paraguay flagPAR
vs
AUSAustralia flag
PAR45%
Draw30%
AUS25%

Model lean: Paraguay. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Norway
Norway flagNOR
vs
FRAFrance flag
NOR38%
Draw38%
FRA24%

Model lean: Norway. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Senegal
Senegal flagSEN
vs
IRQIraq flag
SEN46%
Draw17%
IRQ37%

Model lean: Senegal. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Cabo Verde
Cabo Verde flagCPV
vs
KSASaudi Arabia flag
CPV50%
Draw16%
KSA34%

Model lean: Cabo Verde. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Uruguay
Uruguay flagURU
vs
ESPSpain flag
URU50%
Draw16%
ESP34%

Model lean: Uruguay. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Egypt
Egypt flagEGY
vs
IRNIR Iran flag
EGY46%
Draw17%
IRN37%

Model lean: Egypt. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026New Zealand
New Zealand flagNZL
vs
BELBelgium flag
NZL46%
Draw26%
BEL28%

Model lean: New Zealand. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Panama
Panama flagPAN
vs
ENGEngland flag
PAN48%
Draw18%
ENG34%

Model lean: Panama. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Croatia
Croatia flagCRO
vs
GHAGhana flag
CRO52%
Draw17%
GHA31%

Model lean: Croatia. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Colombia
Colombia flagCOL
vs
PORPortugal flag
COL46%
Draw16%
POR38%

Model lean: Colombia. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Congo DR
Congo DR flagCOD
vs
UZBUzbekistan flag
COD42%
Draw18%
UZB40%

Model lean: Congo DR. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Algeria
Algeria flagALG
vs
AUTAustria flag
ALG39%
Draw34%
AUT27%

Model lean: Algeria. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →
FIFA World Cup 2026Jordan
Jordan flagJOR
vs
ARGArgentina flag
JOR43%
Draw18%
ARG39%

Model lean: Jordan. Venue context, travel load and matchup profiles are weighted from confirmed FIFA fixture data.

Full breakdown →